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2024 Presidential Election

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Prediction markets for 2024 Presidential Election

Who wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?

Dec 17, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6823820

OptionProbability

Trump / Russia does not invade

Trump / Russia invades

Not Trump / Russia invades

Not Trump / Russia does not invade

72

26

1

1

Will the 2024 US presidential election trigger a constitutional crisis?

Feb 21, 9:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.02%chance

6522304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10427

140

US Recession before 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Apr 20, 3:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.03%chance

248304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6942

45

Will the last presidential election in the USA be in 2024?

Oct 6, 1:10 PMNov 11, 4:59 AM

9.31%chance

396241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3121

320

Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

4.3%chance

295505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1949

913

If there's a recession before election day 2024, will a Democrat win the presidential election?

Dec 11, 3:54 PMSep 2, 2:59 AM

1%chance

103406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3380

71

Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 18, 9:03 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM

23.81%chance

353112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

861

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 21, 1:25 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

28%chance

302988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

956

Will Alexandria-Ocasio Cortez be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States in the 2024, 2028, or 2032 presidential elections?

Dec 10, 2:56 AMNov 3, 1:55 PM

20.14%chance

412459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1387

832

Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Mar 18, 1:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.8%chance

232429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

286

Will a current Congressman/Presidential candidate demand a recount after the 2024 presidential election?

Apr 19, 4:14 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.81%chance

111257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

177

Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term

Aug 5, 3:24 AMJan 20, 12:59 PM

23.09%chance

15245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

970

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