Prediction markets for Academy Award
Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?
Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
6.78%chance
282172
OptionVotes
1983
871
Which movie from 2025 will win the Oscar for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Mar 6, 3:53 AMMar 7, 4:59 AM
51925
OptionProbability
50
12
11
7
6
5
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?
Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.36%chance
321716
OptionVotes
1191
841
By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?
Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.07%chance
26716
OptionVotes
1374
889
Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?
Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.49%chance
21506
OptionVotes
1054
926
Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)
Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM
63.83%chance
23505
OptionVotes
1080
940
Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?
May 5, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
94.9%chance
7417
OptionVotes
431
23
Which films will be nominated for an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards (2026)?
Jan 24, 2:48 AMMar 15, 2:59 AM
9396
OptionProbability
87
86
84
60
50
50
50
45
37
33
30
29
24
24
24
23
22
19
19
19
18
17
17
17
12
What will be true about the next Oscars Academy Award Best Actor winner in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 3, 4:18 AMMar 9, 3:59 AM
3328
OptionProbability
79
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
10
10
4
4
Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?
May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.91%chance
4189
OptionVotes
286
35
Will someone named Rigoberto or Rigobert be nominated for an Academy Award / Oscar before April 1st 2032?
Jan 17, 10:08 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM
23.43%chance
781
OptionVotes
239
136
OptionProbability
41
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