Prediction markets for Another
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
80.58%chance
11730224
OptionVotes
10621
5761
Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?
Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
76.69%chance
879641
OptionVotes
1775
1245
OptionVotes
1450
750
Will Apple add another service to it’s Apple One subscription before Aug 13th 2025?
Aug 13, 12:06 PMAug 13, 10:59 PM
1%chance
366259
OptionVotes
4429
16
Will Elon Musk found another billion dollar company by 2030?
Oct 17, 5:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
47.61%chance
714553
OptionVotes
1333
973
Will there be another new member of the Straw Hat Pirates before the end of One Piece?
Mar 15, 8:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
88.68%chance
372915
OptionVotes
3330
1672
OptionVotes
1128
777
OptionVotes
1587
343
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?
Feb 11, 7:17 PMFeb 18, 11:59 PM
51.25%chance
331312
OptionVotes
1075
906
If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?
Jun 3, 12:31 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM
71.04%chance
11918
OptionVotes
1566
638
Will there be another poisoning of someone attributed to Russia in another country before the end of 2030?
Mar 26, 6:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
87.24%chance
28734
OptionVotes
2515
1871
Will CGP Grey ever release another video in the Reservations series?
Jul 22, 1:34 AMSep 18, 6:59 AM
38.22%chance
7556
OptionVotes
1271
787
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