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Prediction markets for Austin

Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?

May 27, 10:51 PMSep 1, 6:59 AM

1.97%chance

45102363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

87629

5587

Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 19, 3:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

7647173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3154

1257

Will @Austin ever be a billionaire?

Nov 14, 5:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

5.14%chance

4228680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

897

Will James or Austin return to Manifold before 2026?

Sep 15, 6:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.55%chance

2717673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23775

6052

Will Tesla FSD Robotaxi have a fatal accident in Austin in 2025

Jun 11, 5:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.41%chance

233463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2541

394

University of Austin renames itself before 2030?

Apr 18, 6:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.99%chance

61856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1645

608

If @Austin's wife or child died, would he cry?

Aug 26, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.28%chance

221769

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

702

Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?

Apr 18, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.37%chance

131293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1505

664

Will Austin and Rachel’s child (Ada When) bet on this market by end of 2030?

Jan 18, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37%chance

18923

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1189

861

UnflavoredChips (Austin) Stock

Mar 3, 12:55 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.54%chance

17874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

987

Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?

Sep 25, 8:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

79.3%chance

18545

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

947

Will Houston -> Austin become an Interstate Highway by 2040?

Nov 30, 1:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38.09%chance

2373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

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