Prediction markets for Axios
OptionVotes
7114
141
OptionProbability
41
38
36
34
32
30
30
30
30
28
25
25
21
21
20
18
13
13
12
Will we observe clear evidence of axions by January 1st 2030
Feb 14, 1:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.94%chance
171967
OptionVotes
1973
753
Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?
Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.93%chance
131580
OptionVotes
1759
1287
Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?
Oct 4, 12:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
1.05%chance
6804
OptionVotes
764
5
Will fermats last theorem be formalized in lean down to the axiom in 5 years.
Feb 14, 6:58 PMFeb 22, 6:29 PM
48.71%chance
17579
OptionVotes
211
204
OptionVotes
1328
823
OptionVotes
207
193
OptionVotes
1061
942
Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?
Oct 27, 8:14 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
48.52%chance
680
OptionVotes
111
108
OptionVotes
142
70
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