China sanctioned by US + Europe

CCP in power in 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

Oil shortages in South Korea or Japan

CCP in power in 2050 [IF INVADE]

Taiwan blockaded before invasion

Japan allows use of airbases

US military intervention

Malacca Strait blockaded

Chinese mainland bombed

Taiwan surrenders

Chinese warships sunk by US submarine

Japanese military intervention

Malacca Strait blockaded > 1 month

Chinese warships sunk by US airforce

China attacks Japan

Food shortages in China

Oil shortages in China

Philippines attacked by Chinese

Guam attacked by Chinese

Philippines allows use of airbases

South Korea allows use of airbases

Malacca Strait blockaded > 12 months

Peaceful unification by 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

European military intervention

Japan attacked by Chinese

South Korean military intervention

China attacks South Korea

Indian military intervention

US combat troops in Taiwan

US aircraft carrier sunk

US destroys TSMC factories

Tactical nuclear weapon used

YES

NO

NO

YES

YES

YES

YES

YES

YES

YES