Prediction markets for Convention
Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention?
Feb 15, 5:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
71.96%chance
302586
OptionVotes
1602
624
JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
Apr 14, 6:51 PMAug 30, 10:59 PM
9%chance
142180
OptionVotes
3180
314
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
34.3%chance
221821
OptionVotes
1384
722
Will there be an EU convention to amend the treaties during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
May 18, 2:57 PMJun 9, 9:59 PM
44.92%chance
71533
OptionVotes
1584
1422
Will an AI Tutor (LLM personalized for each student) replace conventional teaching by 2035?
Mar 11, 10:02 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
66.52%chance
201440
OptionVotes
1527
526
Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2030?
Apr 14, 4:55 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
8.44%chance
291202
OptionVotes
976
943
By 2030 will more people regularly consume visual novels than conventional novels (paper and ebook)?
Feb 22, 9:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
11%chance
16793
OptionVotes
1210
942
Will Canada sign the Framework Convention on AI before 2026?
Sep 9, 7:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.55%chance
5400
OptionVotes
1239
807
Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2100?
Apr 14, 6:55 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
37.73%chance
14250
OptionVotes
998
995
Lighthaven hosts furry event or convention before 2028?
Jul 9, 9:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.2%chance
5199
OptionVotes
177
57
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.97%chance
5122
OptionVotes
301
187
Will I have gone to a Star Trek convention by EOY 2025?
May 29, 8:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.14%chance
8120
OptionVotes
171
100
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