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Prediction markets for County

Will Mark Meadows change his plea to guilty in Fulton County?

Sep 13, 9:47 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

9.99%chance

217187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1434

797

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

63.71%chance

596835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13221

7577

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10480

9542

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Aug 26, 10:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.72%chance

161718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

347

Will Trump take the stand in his Fulton County trial?

Sep 18, 2:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.88%chance

191279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

961

Will over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?

Aug 25, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

18917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

919

Will Donald Trump be offered a plea deal in Fulton County?

Oct 20, 10:25 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

11.19%chance

19851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

852

Which of the following counties will have an inbound maritime oil delivery disrupted by a military attack prior to 2028?

Jan 5, 4:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

4216

OptionProbability

US

UK

Germany

Japan

China

South Korea

North Korea

Israel

France

India

73

67

67

66

64

61

56

52

52

44

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

53.77%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

721

359

Will a state in the USA ban Uber And/or Lyft outright for all counties and cities by the end of 2025?

Jun 21, 7:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.44%chance

6143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

60

San Mateo County joins Bay Area regional transit funding measure?

Jul 25, 5:19 AMAug 11, 5:18 AM

52.49%chance

327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Who will be elected as the first Los Angeles County Executive

Jul 24, 6:19 PMJan 1, 7:15 PM

110

OptionProbability

Rick Caruso

Lindsey Horvath

No LA County Executive elected in 2028 for any reason

Other

25

25

25

25

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