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Prediction markets for Europa

By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there is life on Jupiter's moon, Europa, that was not brought there by humans?

Dec 2, 8:53 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

6.15%chance

375048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2140

855

Is there life on Europa (moon of jupyter)

Oct 15, 11:45 PMOct 23, 6:59 AM

19.21%chance

714531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2051

488

Will NASA find signs of life on Europa, before 2035?

Oct 16, 4:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.95%chance

243766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2714

368

What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?

Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

223235

OptionProbability

Callisto

Ganymede

Europa

Mercury

Titan

Venus

Io

Other

51

18

16

10

3

1

1

1

Will signs of past or present life be found on the Jovian moon Europa by 2050?

Oct 2, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.2%chance

402284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

505

Will a major space agency announce the discovery of extraterrestrial life on Europa or Enceladus before 2035

Jul 28, 9:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.83%chance

241272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

965

Will NASA's Europa Clipper discover organic compounds either in plumes or on the surface?

Oct 18, 1:06 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

77.72%chance

171141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1868

535

When will Europa Universalis 5 be released?

Mar 2, 11:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8924

OptionProbability

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Other

Q3 2025

Q3 2026

Q4 2026

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

25

21

16

13

8

7

7

1

1

Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?

Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

75.44%chance

9859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1753

571

Will the Europa Clipper mission last at least 4 years after arriving at Jupiter?

Aug 31, 7:42 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

80.29%chance

9445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

141

Will Europa Universalis 5 have overall mixed reviews in Steam a month after release?

Apr 28, 8:03 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

29.78%chance

10249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

296

173

What will be the next Europa Universalis 4 tag that Tetraspace does a complete playthrough with?

May 10, 8:04 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26

OptionProbability

Other

Austria

England

89

9

2

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