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European Space Agency

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Prediction markets for European Space Agency

Will any organisation launch a mission with the aim of adjusting the orbit of asteroid 2024 YR4?

Feb 1, 12:38 AMDec 23, 3:59 PM

2.05%chance

167508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6905

145

Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀

Jan 7, 9:06 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

254011

OptionProbability

SpaceX

NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration)

CNSA (China National Space Administration)

ESA (European Space Agency)

Blue Origin

Boeing

13

9

3

2

2

1

Will the moon have its own time zone before 2026

Mar 8, 7:43 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

41.87%chance

411936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1177

633

Which agency/company will send people back to the moon first?

Apr 6, 1:26 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

14875

OptionProbability

NASA

China National Space Administration

SPACEX

European Space Agency

Other

Google

71

29

10

10

7

5

What organization will be the first to land a human on Mars?

Aug 4, 11:42 PMDec 28, 7:59 AM

18650

OptionProbability

SpaceX

US government

Chinese government

Other

European Space Agency

Blue Origin

Russian government

Indian government

Turkish Space Agency

Japanese government

46

30

21

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

Which countries will join the European Space Agency as full members before 2031?

Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

386

OptionProbability

Latvia

Lithuania

Slovakia

Bulgaria

Croatia

Canada

Cyprus

Malta

55

54

52

41

36

34

28

28

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