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Prediction markets for FAB

Will an AI-fabricated police brutality video receive major news coverage by end of 2025?

Jun 19, 9:59 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

36.53%chance

549449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1742

637

In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?

Mar 28, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

182065

Will any advanced AI chip fabs or their key supply chains be heavily physically damaged deliberately by 2028?

Nov 3, 6:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.45%chance

281988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

883

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Oct 20, 2:50 AMOct 27, 3:59 AM

27%chance

191337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

933

Will Fabiano Caruana become world chess champion by 2050?

Nov 29, 1:18 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

20.66%chance

161190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

879

Will flooding in North Carolina result in semiconductor manufacturing issues?

Sep 29, 10:08 PMOct 1, 3:59 AM

4.4%chance

23917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

466

21

Will a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2026?

Dec 18, 11:25 PMJun 2, 1:59 AM

22.16%chance

11613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

313

134

Will any lilypadder play FaB by end of 2026

Aug 6, 6:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.73%chance

3566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

657

15

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

21376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

789

Will Fabiano Caruana ever become World Chess Champion?

Apr 26, 5:36 AMJul 31, 6:59 AM

20.79%chance

4153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

101

Will DC Comics prevent the Fables intellectual property from entering the public domain before August 2026?

Sep 18, 5:46 AMAug 18, 6:59 AM

31.3%chance

562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

90

Will the upcoming Fable game get 80% or more on OpenCritic?

Dec 17, 6:50 PMDec 2, 7:59 AM

39.06%chance

425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

100

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