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Prediction markets for FBI

Who orchestrated JFK's assassination?

Jul 3, 7:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

238108506

OptionProbability

Lee Harvey Oswald (acting alone)

CIA

Other US government agency or official

Other

Cuban exiles (anti-Castro)

Mafia

Cuban government

KGB / Soviets

LBJ

US military

FBI

Other US leftwing group

Other US rightwing group

US company

Foreign company

Mossad / Israeli government

Other foreign government

Aliens / Illuminati / lizard people

74

18

2

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

How many FBI informants will be shown to have been involved in the events at the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021?

Sep 28, 8:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

216845

OptionProbability

11-30

More than 100

61-100

31-60

1-10

Zero

58

23

20

11

9

6

Will the FBI arrest a suspect for the January 5, 2021 DC pipe bomb incidents before January 5, 2026?

Sep 18, 1:15 PMJan 6, 4:59 AM

11.36%chance

93393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2794

358

Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?

Jan 11, 5:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.49%chance

283124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1857

539

FBI stock

Apr 9, 8:31 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM

20974

OptionProbability

YES

NO

402

321

FBI most wanted has someone listed for a crime committed in space through 2034

Sep 19, 12:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.58%chance

9586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

723

132

Trump is suing the gov’t for the Mar-a-Lago raid. Will the FBI fail or refuse to provide subpoenaed communications?

Aug 13, 12:35 AMAug 13, 3:59 AM

55.24%chance

4400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1111

900

Kash Patel remains FBI Director on June 30, 2026

Jul 12, 5:38 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

38.27%chance

5286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

787

FBI stock (permanent)

Mar 2, 6:24 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7153

OptionProbability

NO

YES

177

128

Will the FBI report that US hate crimes in 2024 were up over 2023?

Jan 17, 2:30 AMOct 31, 3:59 AM

50.93%chance

6127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will we know why the FBI raided the home of Xiaofeng Wang before 2026?

Apr 1, 8:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.72%chance

869

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

Will there be a first female director of the FBI before the NSA?

Apr 1, 5:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.83%chance

460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

155

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