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Prediction markets for Forbes

Will Sam Altman be ranked among the top 20 richest people alive by Forbes in 2040?

Feb 28, 8:35 AMMar 2, 2:59 AM

45%chance

251883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1224

385

Will Anurag Kamal (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 23, 2:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.66%chance

7446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

85

Which former Forbes 30 Under 30 winners be convicted of a crime by January 1, 2027?

Oct 28, 10:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2348

OptionProbability

Ham Serunjogi (Finance, 2023)

Hayden Adams (Finance, 2023)

Reid Waldman (Healthcare, 2024)

Carter Frazee (Finance, 2024)

Marc Baghadjian, Nikolas Ioannou (Finance, 2024)

Dina Radenkovic (Healthcare, 2023)

5

5

5

5

5

5

Will Elon Musk become twice as wealthy as both Jeff Bezos and 4th place in Forbes real time billionaires List before2029

Jun 19, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.24%chance

10292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

231

122

Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?

Jan 12, 5:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.21%chance

14235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

949

Will Alex Abramson (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 17, 12:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.44%chance

10187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

137

Will Arjun Mehta (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 28, 2:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

3181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

60

Will Alex Atallah (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18%chance

5179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

112

Will Celestine Au (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 23, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.46%chance

5163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

86

Will Sam Aarons (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 16, 5:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.28%chance

4143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

82

Chungin 'Roy' Lee on 2026 Forbes 30 Under 30 list?

Apr 21, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.73%chance

5129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

918

Will Jess Adepoju (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 18, 12:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.47%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

98

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