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Prediction markets for Furness

Next US government shutdown (with furlough)

Jul 6, 12:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

377274599

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2025

2030s

2028

2029

2024

Not before 2050

2023

2040s

46

23

19

5

3

2

1

1

0

0

Robot assembles IKEA furniture using printed instructions, before 2030?

Aug 12, 7:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

5010335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

702

Will any current or former US President or member of the Cabinet identify as a furry by 2039?

Mar 31, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

151381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2559

1062

Will anyone break the Apollo 13 crew's record for furthest people from Earth before 2030?

Dec 15, 6:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

80%chance

171245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

935

Will Tyson Fury win the rematch with Francis Ngannou?

Feb 27, 7:09 AMJan 2, 1:29 PM

4.82%chance

5377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

444

23

Which Brazilian team advances furthest in Copa Libertadores 2025?

Dec 26, 1:54 AMDec 1, 2:59 AM

3243

OptionProbability

Flamengo

Palmeiras

São Paulo

Internacional

Corinthians

Botafogo

Fortaleza

Bahia

34

34

17

17

17

12

3

0

Wird der 28.11.2028 eine große Überraschung für HelixHD?

Aug 6, 5:16 PMNov 27, 11:59 PM

70.32%chance

3137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

154

65

Will the EU ban fur farming( possibly with an exception for rabbits) by 2030?

Jun 15, 6:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.66%chance

6115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Will a new wild sarbecoronavirus be observed with an evolved furin cleavage site before 2030?

Nov 25, 5:52 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

29.68%chance

452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

192

118

Will Tim Farkas win the Ehrenzeichen für Verdienste um die Republik Österreich by EOY 2060?

Sep 21, 6:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Moritz Plieger win the Ehrenzeichen für Verdienste um die Republik Österreich by EOY2060

Sep 21, 7:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Isaak Freeman win the Ehrenzeichen für Verdienste um die Republik Österreich by EOY 2060?

Sep 21, 6:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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