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Prediction markets for House GOP

Will Trump authorize privateers (i.e. issue letters of marque & reprisal) to go after drug cartels?

Jan 28, 2:21 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM

15.81%chance

146373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1754

84

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

86.69%chance

171725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2552

392

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:47 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

2.24%chance

101413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1280

46

By 31 December 2026, will the Congress pass a DBCFT (Destination Based Cash Flow Tax)?

Nov 7, 4:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.41%chance

61215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1975

506

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93%chance

5801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

101

How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?

Dec 25, 8:00 PMOct 11, 3:59 AM

9591

OptionProbability

41+ seats

31-40 seats

21-30 seats

0-10

11-20 seats

seat gain

29

17

15

14

13

11

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:48 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

8.07%chance

12589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

632

122

GOP House Conference stock

May 2, 3:37 AMMay 2, 3:59 AM

9557

OptionProbability

YES

NO

174

103

By 31 December 2025, will President Trump or President-elect Trump refer to a DBCFT (Destination Based Cash Flow Tax)?

Nov 7, 4:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.31%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1516

660

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:43 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

16.39%chance

12472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

58

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will they end the filibuster by the midterm election?

Jan 4, 4:20 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

17.09%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

149

Will Dan Crenshaw Be Reelected?

Dec 23, 9:53 AMMay 31, 4:59 AM

44%chance

398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

89

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