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Prediction markets for House of Representatives

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

94107393

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

75

25

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

59.49%chance

284439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

825

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

90.34%chance

134078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3058

327

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

82.65%chance

193616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2183

458

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

17.52%chance

132814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2170

461

Will Destiny run for the Senate or the House of Representatives before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.74%chance

262565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1751

830

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.55%chance

242047

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1263

792

Will the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?

Nov 6, 4:20 PMJan 9, 7:59 AM

60.94%chance

302022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1333

705

Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 5:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.98%chance

421212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

844

How many seats will Pieter Omtzigt's NSC have in the Dutch House of Representatives after the next general election?

Nov 25, 1:31 PMDec 2, 10:59 PM

91034

OptionProbability

At least 1

At least 5

At least 10

At least 15

At least 25

At least 20

At least 30

At least 35

65

9

9

8

7

4

4

4

Will Matthew McConaughey run for the Senate or the House of Representatives or governor before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:34 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

36.79%chance

14707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

958

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

64.33%chance

4459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

745

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