Prediction markets for Independents
Will Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2025?
Jan 27, 8:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7.29%chance
396451
OptionVotes
3566
280
OptionVotes
1103
862
Yang's 2025 predictions: Will at least one member of Congress or the Senate declare him or herself to be an Independent?
Dec 31, 2:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
48.7%chance
231516
OptionVotes
1026
974
Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?
Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM
55.46%chance
171256
OptionVotes
1116
896
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
51.37%chance
211178
OptionVotes
1184
741
If Greenland holds an independence referendum in 2025, will it vote for independence?
Jan 27, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30%chance
14965
OptionVotes
1528
655
OptionVotes
1168
856
Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?
Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.11%chance
16517
OptionVotes
1147
771
Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?
Aug 23, 3:36 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM
48.52%chance
3470
OptionVotes
10300
9709
Now that R/GA is an independent agency, will it embark on a new era of creativity and awards?
Mar 5, 11:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
65.1%chance
3402
OptionVotes
1366
732
OptionVotes
1173
852
Will the USA pass a content filtering law covering 3D-printed or other independently manufactured guns?
Jan 22, 2:53 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
47.56%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952
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