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Prediction markets for Lively

Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?

Dec 31, 10:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84%chance

1301057730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

745

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

Mar 8, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

110390726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1785

1512

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?

Nov 18, 2:49 PMOct 16, 10:59 PM

12.23%chance

12395092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2938

1710

Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?

Oct 9, 2:04 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

39%chance

25166707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

800

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

Mar 26, 12:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

60.58%chance

16152147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1723

1089

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.23%chance

17942920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22636

7479

Will @firstuserhere live upto the age of 420?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJun 16, 6:29 PM

15%chance

3241371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

979

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Apr 20, 10:07 AMJun 15, 1:03 AM

19.67%chance

5731585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

861

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

May 12, 1:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.75%chance

8024904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

936

will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?

Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

33.35%chance

2720656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6224

5524

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9916

2845

Do we live in a simulation?

Nov 24, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

34.45%chance

442038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

976

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