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Prediction markets for Max

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030

Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.42%chance

931732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29345

3524

Will Max Verstappen be a Red Bull driver in the first race of the 2026 season?

Aug 20, 3:31 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

86.61%chance

376512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2543

393

🎧 Next generation AirPods Max - what will be true?

Apr 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 12:10 PM

154737

OptionProbability

🔊 Updated to H2 Chip for improved computational audio

📍 Added U2 Chip for Precision Finding

🛄 Redesigned Case

🛜 Updated to Bluetooth 5.3 or newer

3️⃣ Announced in Q3, 2024

4️⃣ Announced in Q4, 2024

92

71

69

63

0

0

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2028

Sep 26, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.36%chance

43189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3838

261

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.29%chance

342179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

931

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM

47%chance

14753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

956

Will the Alaska 737 MAX depressurization incident substantially impact Alaska’s acquisition of Hawaiian airlines?

Jan 7, 2:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

18623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

951

Will Max Tegmark (physicist, Future of Life Institute) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 15, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.3%chance

14621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

961

Max Verstappen joins Mercedes?

Jul 4, 8:26 AMJul 11, 8:26 AM

15.61%chance

10560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

43

Will Max Lucid's heart break within 6 months? (""""Non sexual Dominatrix"""")

Feb 25, 11:46 PMAug 31, 4:59 PM

56.9%chance

10374

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

870

Will Max Roser create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.33%chance

10345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

779

What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?

May 30, 6:13 PMMay 30, 8:59 PM

657

OptionProbability

3 pods

4 pods

5 pods

1 pod

2 pods

28

20

20

19

13

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