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Prediction markets for Moon

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?

Apr 9, 2:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.95%chance

23248044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2421

1531

Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Feb 9, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.38%chance

28843336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5886

747

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?

Apr 9, 2:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.46%chance

14623661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2734

650

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Jan 9, 3:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

248181

OptionProbability

2028

2029

>= 2032

2027

2030

2031

Before 2027

24

24

22

14

8

6

2

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Aug 12, 1:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

688007

OptionProbability

USA

China

Europe

Other

Russia

India

67

30

1

1

0

0

Will China land men on the moon before the USA?

Jan 5, 9:00 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

36.34%chance

507346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2556

2543

Will Elon Musk ever orbit or walk on the Moon?

Apr 1, 9:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.49%chance

382780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2295

1877

Will signs of past or present life be found on the Jovian moon Europa by 2050?

Oct 2, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.2%chance

402284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

505

Will Joe Biden be alive on the day a human next steps on the moon?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.21%chance

331970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2353

1696

Will Jeff Bezos ever orbit or walk on the Moon?

Mar 25, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.15%chance

341112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2044

1924

Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?

Mar 26, 5:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.6%chance

28604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1994

1962

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

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