Prediction markets for OWN
Will Manifold allow market creators to noticeably prohibit themselves from trading on their own markets?
Jan 8, 8:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.31%chance
414646
OptionVotes
2714
70
OptionVotes
1177
633
Will some AIs have a right to own property in the United States before 2050?
Aug 6, 12:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30.28%chance
251496
OptionVotes
1029
966
Will Australia own and operate any nuclear powered submarines by 2040?
Dec 9, 1:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.14%chance
251236
OptionVotes
1273
522
OptionVotes
2067
484
SpaceX owns launch/landing facility in Australia before 2028
Jul 31, 2:18 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
23.56%chance
81045
OptionVotes
1801
555
Will Chinese social credit system be thought to be based on AI with own goals by end of 2035?
May 21, 2:42 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM
23.06%chance
91022
OptionVotes
1846
568
Will people prefer the taste of their own lab-grown human flesh over lab grown pork?
Jan 2, 9:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
24.31%chance
4755
OptionVotes
1755
577
Will an AI system be judged to have killed a human on its own initiative and for no other purpose by 2030?
Mar 10, 10:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.68%chance
14516
OptionVotes
1056
963
OptionVotes
1390
719
Will an artificial intelligence create a work of art of its own volition before 2050?
Oct 30, 4:06 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
74.01%chance
11240
OptionVotes
1091
958
Detroit LVT: Will newly city-owned properties experience less development than they have in prior years? (2028)
Oct 13, 3:23 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
60.6%chance
343
OptionVotes
1207
1177
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