J. Something 'just works' on the order of eg: train a predictive/imitative/generative AI on a human-generated dataset, and RLHF her to be unfailingly nice, generous to weaker entities, and determined to make the cosmos a lovely place.

K. Somebody discovers a new AI paradigm that's powerful enough and matures fast enough to beat deep learning to the punch, and the new paradigm is much much more alignable than giant inscrutable matrices of floating-point numbers.

M. "We'll make the AI do our AI alignment homework" just works as a plan. (Eg the helping AI doesn't need to be smart enough to be deadly; the alignment proposals that most impress human judges are honest and truthful and successful.)

C. Solving prosaic alignment on the first critical try is not as difficult, nor as dangerous, nor taking as much extra time, as Yudkowsky predicts; whatever effort is put forth by the leading coalition works inside of their lead time.

Something wonderful happens that isn't well-described by any option listed. (The semantics of this option may change if other options are added.)

A. Humanity successfully coordinates worldwide to prevent the creation of powerful AGIs for long enough to develop human intelligence augmentation, uploading, or some other pathway into transcending humanity's window of fragility.

B. Humanity puts forth a tremendous effort, and delays AI for long enough, and puts enough desperate work into alignment, that alignment gets solved first.

I. The tech path to AGI superintelligence is naturally slow enough and gradual enough, that world-destroyingly-critical alignment problems never appear faster than previous discoveries generalize to allow safe further experimentation.

O. Early applications of AI/AGI drastically increase human civilization's sanity and coordination ability; enabling humanity to solve alignment, or slow down further descent into AGI, etc. (Not in principle mutex with all other answers.)

G. It's impossible/improbable for something sufficiently smarter and more capable than modern humanity to be created, that it can just do whatever without needing humans to cooperate; nor does it successfully cheat/trick us.

E. Whatever strange motivations end up inside an unalignable AGI, or the internal slice through that AGI which codes its successor, they max out at a universe full of cheerful qualia-bearing life and an okay outcome for existing humans.

D. Early powerful AGIs realize that they wouldn't be able to align their own future selves/successors if their intelligence got raised further, and work honestly with humans on solving the problem in a way acceptable to both factions.

H. Many competing AGIs form an equilibrium whereby no faction is allowed to get too powerful, and humanity is part of this equilibrium and survives and gets a big chunk of cosmic pie.

L. Earth's present civilization crashes before powerful AGI, and the next civilization that rises is wiser and better at ops. (Exception to 'okay' as defined originally, will be said to count as 'okay' even if many current humans die.)

If you write an argument that breaks down the 'okay outcomes' into lots of distinct categories, without breaking down internal conjuncts and so on, Reality is very impressed with how disjunctive this sounds and allocates more probability.

F. Somebody pulls off a hat trick involving blah blah acausal blah blah simulations blah blah, or other amazingly clever idea, which leads an AGI to put the reachable galaxies to good use despite that AGI not being otherwise alignable.

N. A crash project at augmenting human intelligence via neurotech, training mentats via neurofeedback, etc, produces people who can solve alignment before it's too late, despite Earth civ not slowing AI down much.

The Legend of Zelda

Donkey Kong Country

Cyberpunk (including Orion, etc)

Animal Crossing

Splatoon

Pokémon

Super Mario

Plants vs. Zombies

Red Dead Redemption

Katamari (塊魂)

Super Smash Bros.

Dragon Quest

WarioWare

Grand Theft Auto

Pikmin

The Elder Scrolls

Tekken

Call of Duty

Halo

F-Zero

Luigi's Mansion

Mario Golf

Shantae

Fable

Microsoft Flight Simulator

Rhythm Heaven

Tales

virtua fighter

Dark Souls

Punch-Out!!

Fallout

Pokémon Snap

Itadaki Street (Fortune Street/Boom Street)

Arms

Bayonetta

Nintendogs

Itadaki Street (Fortune Street/Boom Street), in North America

The Sims (excluding MySims)

Kid Icarus

Tomodachi Life/Tomodachi Collection

Homestuck/Hiveswap

Denpa Men

Golden Sun

Labo

Pokémon Pinball

[With five or more methods]

With their bare hands

With a weapon that the victim brought to the fight.

With a gadget or other ingenious device from Q

Other

With a hand gun

In the dark

With a long arm (a firearm larger than a pistol).

With a Walther PP or PPK handgun

By causing a structural collapse under them.

Slap

Drowning them

By pushing them off something high up

Sideswiping them with a car

Choking them

Silently, but deadly

With a named MMA submission (e.g., rear-naked choke, arm bar, kimura lock, etc.)

With a knife

Dropping something heavy on them

With electricity

By driving over them in a car

Biting

With a Kalashnikov Rifle (e.g. AK47)

Flambé /Fire

hurts someone's feelings (character in question must state this)

With a timed explosive device

By opening a hatch/airlock

With poison

Drone strike

With his cock (like a fighting Rooster; get yer minds outta that gutter)

Electrocution / With electricity

With a power tool normally used for construction

Lures them into a booby-trapped room

By calling in artillery or missile strike

Arranging for them to be attacked by an animal

With a piece of sporting equipment

Sonic weapon

With a chain

Flying/jump/drop kick

With a grenade

With a flamethrower

Punch to the groin

With a lazer based weapon

With a missle

Friendly fire (Bond unintentionally injures an ally)

With nanobots

Ejector seat

Big stick

With a sling shot

Crashing a plane into them

With a harpoon gun

With a crossbow

By pushing them into a spinning blade

By shaking them, not stirring them

By riding over them with a motorcycle

Killing them with kindness

Non-knife kitchen utensil

By running into them with a submarine

Rape

With microwaves

With a motherfucking snake on a motherfucking plane

Causing them to crash into a wall by painting a tunnel onto it

Vinland Saga

Bleach TYBW

One Punch-Man (webcomic original)

Yotsuba &!

Kaiji

Skip Beat!

Hajime no Ippo

JoJo's Bizarre Adventure

Kingdom

Detective Conan

Vagabond

Berserk

YES

YES

K. Somebody discovers a new AI paradigm that's powerful enough and matures fast enough to beat deep learning to the punch, and the new paradigm is much much more alignable than giant inscrutable matrices of floating-point numbers.

I. The tech path to AGI superintelligence is naturally slow enough and gradual enough, that world-destroyingly-critical alignment problems never appear faster than previous discoveries generalize to allow safe further experimentation.

C. Solving prosaic alignment on the first critical try is not as difficult, nor as dangerous, nor taking as much extra time, as Yudkowsky predicts; whatever effort is put forth by the leading coalition works inside of their lead time.

B. Humanity puts forth a tremendous effort, and delays AI for long enough, and puts enough desperate work into alignment, that alignment gets solved first.

Something wonderful happens that isn't well-described by any option listed. (The semantics of this option may change if other options are added.)

M. "We'll make the AI do our AI alignment homework" just works as a plan. (Eg the helping AI doesn't need to be smart enough to be deadly; the alignment proposals that most impress human judges are honest and truthful and successful.)

A. Humanity successfully coordinates worldwide to prevent the creation of powerful AGIs for long enough to develop human intelligence augmentation, uploading, or some other pathway into transcending humanity's window of fragility.

E. Whatever strange motivations end up inside an unalignable AGI, or the internal slice through that AGI which codes its successor, they max out at a universe full of cheerful qualia-bearing life and an okay outcome for existing humans.

J. Something 'just works' on the order of eg: train a predictive/imitative/generative AI on a human-generated dataset, and RLHF her to be unfailingly nice, generous to weaker entities, and determined to make the cosmos a lovely place.

O. Early applications of AI/AGI drastically increase human civilization's sanity and coordination ability; enabling humanity to solve alignment, or slow down further descent into AGI, etc. (Not in principle mutex with all other answers.)

D. Early powerful AGIs realize that they wouldn't be able to align their own future selves/successors if their intelligence got raised further, and work honestly with humans on solving the problem in a way acceptable to both factions.

F. Somebody pulls off a hat trick involving blah blah acausal blah blah simulations blah blah, or other amazingly clever idea, which leads an AGI to put the reachable galaxies to good use despite that AGI not being otherwise alignable.

L. Earth's present civilization crashes before powerful AGI, and the next civilization that rises is wiser and better at ops. (Exception to 'okay' as defined originally, will be said to count as 'okay' even if many current humans die.)

G. It's impossible/improbable for something sufficiently smarter and more capable than modern humanity to be created, that it can just do whatever without needing humans to cooperate; nor does it successfully cheat/trick us.

H. Many competing AGIs form an equilibrium whereby no faction is allowed to get too powerful, and humanity is part of this equilibrium and survives and gets a big chunk of cosmic pie.

N. A crash project at augmenting human intelligence via neurotech, training mentats via neurofeedback, etc, produces people who can solve alignment before it's too late, despite Earth civ not slowing AI down much.

You are fooled by at least one option on this list, which out of many tries, ends up sufficiently well-aimed at your personal ideals / prejudices / the parts you understand less well / your own personal indulgences in wishful thinking.

Other

2025 Q3/Q4

2026 Q1/Q2

2026 Q3/Q4

2027 Q1/Q2

2027 Q3/Q4

2025 Q1/Q2

2024 Q1/Q2

YES

It will never be revealed / it is just his workout

Other

Android / Robot / Cybernetic enhancements

Alien / nonhuman race

Magic

Other

Fire Devil

Yoshida and/or Octopus Devil

The Chainsawman Devil

Justice Devil

Darkness Devil

Pochita Bud Offshoot

Blood Devil and/or Power

Nayuta

Fire Punch Crossover Character

Another Chainsaw Devil

Kobeni

NO