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Prediction markets for Palestine
Will Finland recognize a state of Palestine before 2030
May 22, 4:40 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
39.27%chance
9213704
OptionVotes
1246
810
Will I support Israel (Yes) or Palestine (No) after talking to Manifold?
Jul 31, 6:14 PMAug 30, 5:48 PM
47.56%chance
11211862
OptionVotes
1122
789
Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?
May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM
10%chance
407788
OptionVotes
3591
300
OptionVotes
1622
617
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?
Apr 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.62%chance
404489
OptionVotes
3475
1633
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
Apr 21, 1:37 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM
23.43%chance
724123
OptionVotes
1559
1006
Will Britain officially recognise Palestine as a state? 🇬🇧🇵🇸
Jan 31, 8:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
87.59%chance
553771
OptionVotes
2257
128
Will the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?
Mar 1, 12:37 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
19.25%chance
283317
OptionVotes
1525
816
Will there be 30+ Palestine protestors in the US Capitol building at any time before Jan 20th 2029?
Jul 27, 2:05 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
32.65%chance
171456
OptionVotes
1436
696
Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?
May 12, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
75.56%chance
221165
OptionVotes
1070
959
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state before Ukraine joins NATO?
Apr 19, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.22%chance
23863
OptionVotes
1122
940
UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025
Jul 29, 8:41 PMSep 25, 11:59 PM
57.8%chance
10510
OptionVotes
1170
854