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Prediction markets for SLS

Will SLS be used for Artemis 3 as planned?

Nov 16, 8:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

39.7%chance

518482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1391

512

Will NASA's SLS be cancelled before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.87%chance

287462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2863

349

Will Starship fly to orbit more times before Artemis II, than SLS ever flies?

Oct 16, 3:48 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

87.55%chance

107350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2652

377

Will SLS survive 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

90.94%chance

164090

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3168

316

Will SLS be cancelled before 2026?

Nov 13, 3:56 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

11.46%chance

213910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2918

252

Will SLS Block 1B or SLS Block 2 ever be launched?

Mar 1, 6:38 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

24.82%chance

182332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1824

390

Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)?

Jun 6, 12:03 AMJan 21, 1:01 AM

9.08%chance

72219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3164

316

Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling SLS before 2029?

Nov 13, 3:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

75.91%chance

152154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1775

563

How many times will SLS launch before 2035

Nov 20, 2:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

101677

OptionProbability

1

3

2

4

5

6+

30

27

26

9

5

3

The next American mission that lands a human on the surface of the Moon won't involve SLS

Apr 20, 1:05 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.4%chance

221507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

747

How many times will NASA's SLS rocket launch?

Mar 9, 6:59 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.85%chance

111163

OptionProbability

YES

NO

520

326

Will SLS Block 2 ever launch?

Mar 12, 4:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5.16%chance

6527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

465

49

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