Prediction markets for Space Launch System
OptionVotes
2863
349
Will a spacecraft designed to land on an exoplanet be officially launched before the end of 2040?🚀
Jan 7, 3:49 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
25%chance
444532
OptionVotes
1048
482
Will SLS survive 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Jan 1, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
90.94%chance
164090
OptionVotes
3168
316
Will a spacecraft designed to land on an exoplanet be officially launched before the end of 2030?🚀
Jan 7, 3:43 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
10.64%chance
313618
OptionVotes
992
696
5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.
Dec 27, 8:16 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
13.91%chance
283077
OptionVotes
2488
402
Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)?
Jun 6, 12:03 AMJan 21, 1:01 AM
9.08%chance
72219
OptionVotes
3164
316
How many rocket launches will be needed for the Artemis III human moon-landing mission?
Nov 27, 11:19 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM
231586
OptionProbability
50
33
8
5
2
1
1
Will NASA’s Artemis 2 mission be launched successfully before January 1st, 2026?
Dec 19, 3:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
3.9%chance
121556
OptionVotes
496
20
OptionProbability
27
22
16
11
7
6
6
3
2
2
OptionVotes
1169
927
Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027?
Jul 2, 8:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
84.24%chance
10236
OptionVotes
231
43
OptionVotes
255
112
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