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Prediction markets for Starlink

Will Starlink have over ten million subscribers by the end of 2025?

Sep 15, 2:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

17%chance

5025701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2179

455

Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?

Mar 24, 7:01 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

65%chance

6412011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

880

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?

Jan 14, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.59%chance

183419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1396

437

Will the first operational satellite launched by Starship be a Starlink satellite?

Nov 6, 5:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

90.52%chance

232469

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2427

730

Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?

Jan 15, 9:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.35%chance

132254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2943

340

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2026?

Jan 14, 3:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25%chance

192063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

982

960

Will starlink go public by end of 2025?

Mar 1, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.19%chance

211395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2202

723

Will Starlink launch their own phone before 2028?

Oct 17, 11:38 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.96%chance

101072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2067

484

Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Mars orbit by 2045

Jan 28, 7:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.21%chance

18617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

937

Would Starlink keep providing coverage in case of an all out nuclear war?

Jan 15, 11:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.66%chance

20568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1303

914

Will SpaceX pick up and return at least 10 starlink satellites to Earth by mid 2031?

May 12, 7:11 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

36.25%chance

8339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

869

Will Starlink join the S&P 500?

Jan 7, 11:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

72.59%chance

11247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

956

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