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Prediction markets for Supreme Being

Will the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?

Jul 22, 12:56 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM

8.61%chance

9741510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3135

225

Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?

Jul 2, 6:08 AMAug 31, 9:59 PM

16.49%chance

367790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2250

444

Will Donald Trump's presidency be extended beyond noon Jan 20 2029 with Supreme Court approval?

Dec 22, 4:04 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

4.47%chance

45115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4622

216

Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?

Apr 12, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.14%chance

432980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2911

1733

Will the US Supreme Court reaffirm the ruling that generative AI cannot be awarded copyright by end of 2025?

Aug 19, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.02%chance

312131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1474

843

Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?

Jul 31, 2:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

80.23%chance

201955

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2015

496

Will Aileen Cannon be confirmed to the Supreme Court by 2029?

Jul 15, 4:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.27%chance

141455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2115

473

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

Mar 25, 4:26 AMJan 1, 1:00 PM

20.23%chance

22711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1323

806

Will the Supreme Court leaker's identity be known by 2030?

Jan 21, 6:14 AMDec 31, 5:00 PM

35.16%chance

22598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

951

Will the number of seats on the Supreme Court be increased from 9 between now and 2030?

Feb 21, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.13%chance

13485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

921

Will there be a Democratic Supreme Court majority before the advent of AGI?

Oct 31, 7:05 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

31.19%chance

13361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

929

Will the supreme court be majority-women in 2040?

Oct 30, 8:26 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

20.71%chance

12248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

920

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