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Prediction markets for Times

When will Trump serve time?

Jun 29, 9:56 PMDec 1, 11:03 PM

25401790555

OptionProbability

Never

2029

2030s

2025

2023 (NO)

2024

2026

2027

2028

2040s or later

91

4

4

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2025 Person of the Year?

Dec 6, 1:02 PMDec 11, 7:59 AM

554252208

OptionProbability

Robert Prevost / Pope Leo XIV

Other

[Any variation of Artificial Intelligence]

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Benjamin Netanyahu

Zohran Mamdani

Sam Altman

Xi Jinping

Elon Musk

Vladimir Putin

[Any variation of "The Victims of War"]

[Any variation of "The Courts"]

[Any variation of "Trump Prosecutors"]

Beyonce

Gavin Newsom

AOC

33

22

21

7

6

3

2

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

8.47%chance

398208314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7082

798

How much time will Tetra spend in each city in 2025?

Aug 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

531466

OptionProbability

London

Other

Paris

Osaka / Kyoto

Portland

Seattle

San Francisco

Boston

New York

Tokyo

Middlesbrough

Washington

Taipei

22

22

13

10

7

7

4

4

3

3

3

2

2

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2729

2049

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.18%chance

710104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20076

7889

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

53.76%chance

419642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11501

8468

Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025

Feb 2, 8:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.33%chance

146906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14718

5388

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.34%chance

192825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12162

8222

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

21.91%chance

31111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

2495

What % Change will RKLB (Rocketlab) Stock Value Have After NEUTRON Launches for the first time?

Dec 20, 3:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

46.24%chance

3507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5351

4368

How many times will Kirby's dreamland 2 crash?

Aug 16, 2:16 AMAug 23, 2:11 AM

00

OptionProbability

3

4

5

6-10

10-15

15-20

20+

Other

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

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