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US Presidential Election

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Prediction markets for US Presidential Election

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

714780909

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Ron DeSantis

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Andy Beshear

Marco Rubio

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump Jr.

Ivanka Trump

Tulsi Gabbard

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

Raphael Warnock

JB Pritzker

Glenn Youngkin

Wes Moore

Ruben Gallego

No 2028 Election

Elon Musk

Tucker Carlson

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Mark Kelly

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Mike Gallagher

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

25

22

12

5

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

27%chance

224346435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136950

82232

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

52.2%chance

11846361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10906

9055

Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?

Feb 19, 1:33 AMJan 28, 3:59 PM

83.97%chance

12427823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11866

9323

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.18%chance

710104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20076

7889

US Recession before 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Apr 20, 3:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.03%chance

248304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6942

45

Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?

Feb 6, 3:39 AMNov 13, 1:59 PM

516200

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

58

41

1

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

67.61%chance

105910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14293

7078

Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?

Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.55%chance

223853

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12830

7603

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.05%chance

183705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10462

9632

Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Mar 18, 1:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.8%chance

232429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

286

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

May 4, 5:27 PMNov 7, 6:00 AM

56.21%chance

502077

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

931

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