DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Download on the App Store
Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

    Prediction markets for Variety

    Will we get AGI before 2026?

    Dec 10, 1:58 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
    3.62%chance
    337268418

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    3877

    887

    Will we get AGI before 2027?

    Dec 9, 4:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
    13.42%chance
    281187213

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1508

    982

    Will we get AGI before 2028?

    Dec 8, 7:32 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM
    28.73%chance
    254122258

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1094

    913

    Will we get AGI before 2030?

    Dec 7, 10:20 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
    50.95%chance
    25194544

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1538

    762

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1600

    510

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    6378

    3288

    What am I going to do next?

    Jun 22, 11:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    4553

    OptionProbability

    Explain "Krantz" thoroughly enough on the internet, that the idea itself becomes alive and takes over the world.

    Solve education

    Other

    Travel to the Network State School

    Go to LessOnline and Manifest

    Go to Contact in the Desert.

    Go to the Monroe Institute.

    Work for society library.

    Focus on finding a life partner

    Recieve a grant to create an open-source home school program where parents and kids work collectively to create lessons and earn crypto credentials.

    Start a podcast with livestream forecasting and collective reasoning.

    Go on Lex Fridman and explain how to solve the control problem by solving education.

    Publish an alignment plan

    Find a new job

    Travel to a new country

    Learn a new language

    Go on Liv Boeree's Win/Win podcast and explain how to kill Moloch by solving the control problem, by solving education.

    Join or start an intentional living community of the rationalist variety.

    Write a book

    Code a indie video game

    Start a religion that worships math, logic and constitutions of propositions as mechanisms that optimize communication, which is good. A Kant cult.

    Run for political office as an open source Manchurian candidate that acts in accordance with how the network state votes.

    Play poker professionally.

    Take blog writing seriously.

    28

    22

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Platform for migrants to start legal & profitable microbusinesses.

    Database of the Most Impactful Research Questions by Discipline and Cause Area

    Leveraging biophysical techniques to improve the efficiency of successful pregnancies in older women

    Research microeconomic disruptions caused by AGI

    The Odyssean Institute

    Mechanical Library

    Educate the public about high impact causes

    Science prediction markets for replicability

    Free Our Knowledge: Improving scientific publishing through collective action

    Researching low-input traditional agricultural techniques.

    Growing human blood vessels in the lab to unlock replacement tissue/organ therapies

    LLM Multi-Actor Tool to automate Economic Experiments

    Building software to demystify land use regulations

    Gather all formal demographic fertility and population projection methods into a single open source R package for academic, policy, and popular use

    Psychosis in velocardiofacial syndrome (DiGeorge/22q11.2 deletion syndrome)

    Conduct preliminary studies on the impact of MKP-2 on COVID-19 vaccine mediated depression

    MPhil/PhD in Psychology to understand understand how issue polarisation arises from divergences in belief revision via Bayesian networks

    Transform waste streams into biodegradable alternatives

    H-Test: identifying a set of "blindspot" tasks for LLMs that doesn't scale (not inverse, close to no effect) with language training

    Creating a swarm of robotic bees to either pollinate or spray pesticides

    Create accessible synthesis of neuroscience insider knowledge

    Conduct research on voice biomarkers, a promising early detection mechanism for mental illnesses, including Alzheimer’s, Parkinson's, depression, and more.

    Build a digital marketplace and management platform to empower smallholder farmers in Kenya by reducing post-harvest food loss

    Upgrade YIMBY messaging

    Publish a book on Egan education for parents

    Weather futures market for forecasting, insurance, and climate engineering.

    Apply particle physics clustering to embedding space of LLM

    Fund a detour on my PhD to improve brute force statistical tooling

    Write three articles that integrate meta-analysis and meta-science

    Quantifying the costs of the Jones Act

    Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and prompts

    Run a self-help program on WhatsApp to reduce depression in low and middle-income countries

    Build an app to track ones impact on animal cruelty

    Year one of AI Safety Tokyo

    Strengthening digital health information system for epidemic control in Pakistan

    Online videos of Fluidity Forum 2024 talks

    Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liability

    Distribute HPMOR copies in Bangalore, India

    An online science platform

    Convert a hybrid car to chip wood and generate electricity

    Start an online editorial journal focusing on paradigm development in psychiatry and psychology

    News through prediction markets

    A spaced-repetition first gamified learning platform

    Vegans should have the right to eat in public institutions : help us turn our right into a reality

    Art and Technology XR game providing Ecological and Social-Emotional Learning

    Replicate social science research

    Original Research Study on Effective Communication With Political Staffers

    Empower Ukraine: Invest in Businesses Driving Positive Change

    75

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    47

    40

    37

    37

    37

    37

    37

    37

    37

    37

    37

    37

Latest stories

No stories found

0