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Prediction markets for Warren

Will Warren Buffet be alive past 2025?

Aug 7, 3:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.32%chance

5110726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

851

Will Elizabeth Warren ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.84%chance

172022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2622

886

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.93%chance

131580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

1287

Will Warren Buffett cease to be CEO of Berkshire Hathaway before the end of 2025?

Jul 17, 6:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.26%chance

251512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

372

27

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will Warren Buffet become a centenarian?

Nov 18, 2:28 AMSep 2, 3:59 AM

22.81%chance

81127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1839

544

Will BRKA hits $1,000,000 before Warren Buffett dies?

Feb 16, 9:59 PMFeb 24, 6:29 PM

73.35%chance

111069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

255

47

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.66%chance

12862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1790

848

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.19%chance

13632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

920

Will Warren Buffett die within 1 year of formally retiring?

May 3, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.66%chance

19493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

41

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

[Long Bet clone (854)] market cap of Berkshire Hathaway above Tesla on Warren Buffett's 100th birthday.

Apr 24, 11:13 AMJul 30, 11:59 PM

56.94%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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