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Prediction markets for Western
Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?
Jan 28, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
3.76%chance
2440407
OptionVotes
36783
7377
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM
6.31%chance
906445
OptionVotes
1978
1525
Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 13, 5:56 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM
19.48%chance
473270
OptionVotes
1182
928
Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070?
Jun 17, 9:01 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
51.74%chance
322365
OptionVotes
1036
966
Will a western country put sanctions on Israel by the end of 2025?
Mar 14, 6:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.43%chance
301772
OptionVotes
1673
781
Will any big western EU or UK city (as of 2023) have more than 50% Muslim population by 2050?
Sep 10, 12:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
61.9%chance
231205
OptionVotes
1148
893
Will all major Western car manufacturers adopt the Tesla charging standard (NACS) by 2026?
Dec 20, 10:59 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
80.04%chance
22872
OptionVotes
1232
902
Putin claims a clip is fake that Western media claim is real before 2026
Dec 21, 8:34 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
43.1%chance
12730
OptionVotes
1149
870
OptionVotes
1434
697
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?
Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM
31.41%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1021
930
Will any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?
Jan 13, 12:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
24.05%chance
12377
OptionVotes
1056
721
Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
Feb 8, 10:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
28.86%chance
18334
OptionVotes
999
980