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Prediction markets for World War II

U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026

Feb 4, 2:18 AMNov 2, 12:00 AM

3.01%chance

2721228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17904

2052

US nukes Iran in 2025?

Jun 20, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.15%chance

298492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6746

148

Will Poland get any WW2 reparations from Germany before end of 2025?

Sep 16, 6:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3%chance

415737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3575

792

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?

Jun 10, 4:08 PMJan 2, 3:59 PM

11.6%chance

324675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2761

362

Will a World War II veteran live to see AGI?

May 27, 4:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.19%chance

444056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2312

554

2030: Will the World War III be named to start in 2023?

Oct 12, 10:23 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

4.06%chance

211786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1757

928

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

26.31%chance

241090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

967

Chinese military parade on September 3, 2025, features marching humanoid robots

Jul 25, 5:57 PMSep 4, 11:59 PM

29.31%chance

151086

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1553

644

When will World War III happen?

Apr 25, 10:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10834

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6693

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Finland

Other

Estonia

Lithuania

Latvia

79

7

6

3

3

3

Will the last living World War II veteran be from the Axis rather than the allies?

May 27, 4:37 PMJun 29, 6:59 AM

41%chance

12441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

975

Will China turn on Russia before 2030?

Jan 13, 4:38 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

21%chance

8360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

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