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Prediction markets for YouTube

Will an AI Generated YouTube Short have more than 500 million views before the end of 2025?

Oct 5, 10:26 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

71.63%chance

4915010

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1589

629

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2026?

Jan 9, 2:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

71.21%chance

5213392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1672

424

How many YouTube views will the peak AXRP video get in 2025?

Sep 14, 9:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

510302

OptionProbability

1,000 - 3,161

< 1,000

> 10,000

3,162 - 10,000

33

25

25

17

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

70.49%chance

285036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1478

697

DGG Chat (yes) vs YouTube Chat (no) Stock (Permanent)

Nov 11, 8:55 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

683871

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1479

938

Will a MrBeast publish a YouTube video in which he does malaria prevention philanthropy before the end of 2025?

Dec 26, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.12%chance

232001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

838

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33%chance

391481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

932

Will the main destiny youtube channel be banned or suspended for any period of time during 2025

Dec 5, 3:55 AMJan 1, 1:29 PM

25.37%chance

10985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1715

583

Will over 1 million Chinese citizens be able to legally access twitter, youtube, and wikipedia at the end of 2025?

Jan 24, 9:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20.33%chance

16982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1980

505

Will the LoFi girl Youtube channel still be live at the end of 2036?

Mar 21, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.62%chance

20624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

945

Will YouTube resolutely address the problem of clickbait thumbnails and video titles by 2029?

Mar 12, 3:15 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.61%chance

12236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

940

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

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